Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.120208 0.181252 0.252425 0.339020 0.439376 0.550210 0.680206
2025-12-07 0.041149 0.106943 0.201785 0.333525 0.501037 0.698869 0.943230
2025-12-14 0.010790 0.064563 0.163569 0.317541 0.526752 0.784600 1.112898
2025-12-21 0.002970 0.051365 0.161372 0.345593 0.605683 0.933657 1.357761
2025-12-28 0.000254 0.042049 0.161179 0.373590 0.682526 1.078753 1.596856
2026-01-04 NaN 0.031463 0.153997 0.388380 0.739883 1.198328 1.804280
2026-01-11 NaN 0.028701 0.161902 0.426455 0.829347 1.359119 2.062956
2026-01-18 NaN 0.024281 0.164013 0.454208 0.903890 1.500543 2.297705
2026-01-25 NaN 0.016356 0.152868 0.457676 0.942592 1.594598 2.472843
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006282 0.124519 0.426363 0.927835 1.616360 2.555496
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000742 0.094772 0.385802 0.895315 1.611739 2.602546
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.080732 0.372921 0.903197 1.660441 2.716909
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.076455 0.381768 0.947754 1.763156 2.906364
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.067036 0.377262 0.970646 1.836363 3.058535
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.053829 0.359831 0.970490 1.876087 3.165849
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.058603 0.389879 1.050220 2.029078 3.422861
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.063260 0.419680 1.129665 2.181847 3.679834
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.062827 0.435416 1.185308 2.300930 3.892500
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.071234 0.475836 1.283118 2.480225 4.185100
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.075662 0.505239 1.362282 2.633142 4.443023
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.070912 0.508909 1.397625 2.723758 4.618657
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.054492 0.475739 1.368386 2.721334 4.670383
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.037426 0.432674 1.318720 2.687593 4.678941